Writings

The Gonzalez Math

Matt's is the kind of campaign that can pull in unlikely supporters � people who support his independence and integrity. That, combined with the necessary full-court press by Ammiano, Alioto, and the rest of the progressive community, can definitely pull this out. I did a spread sheet that calculated, if Gonzalez wins 98 percent of his own votes (in the first election), 8 percent of Newsom's votes, 88 percent of Ammiano's votes, 77 percent of Alioto's votes, 55 percent of Leal's votes, and 22 percent of Ribera's votes, Gonzalez wins, 52 percent to 48 percent.

All of the above numbers are eminently possible, but each will take work. And this of course assumes the voter turnout stays the same, which it might not. The point is, a full-out effort could elect the best mayor San Francisco has seen in a long time, maybe ever.

Let's do it.

TONY BRASUNAS
San Francisco